Tuesday 18 March 2014

After Race 1: Australia

And so it begins… The 65th season of the Formula 1 World Championship kicked off in Melbourne with changes aplenty; nine of the eleven teams fielded a different driver line-up, almost all drivers changed their car number, there was a merry-go-round of high-level team personnel and just the odd difference in technical regulations. Before we get underway, a mention to all the people involved in getting those 22 cars onto the track in Australia. From the research and development into the brand new technology to honing the set-ups on the radically different cars and everything in between, this has been a simply astonishing achievement from everyone to get their car ready; especially from the three power unit manufacturers: Mercedes, Ferrari and Renault. Without much further ado, here we go!

A Mercedes taking the chequered flag - could be a common sight this season
Source: Getty Images
1. Nico Rosberg
It’s advantage Nico in what promises to be an ultra-competitive team-mate battle. As widely anticipated, Mercedes had a significant advantage over their rivals and only their own reliability issues would halt them – as proved the case with Lewis Hamilton.

2. Lewis Hamilton
Despite his DNF, the 2008 champion has every reason to be optimistic about this season. The retirement was clearly not his fault but simply ‘growing pains’ in the new era of Formula 1 (he also ground to a halt on his first lap of the weekend). As said above, Merc have a huge advantage come rain-or-shine but they need to take advantage of their superiority while it lasts.

3. Kevin Magnussen
Best of the rest in the first F1 Power Rankings of the season is Kevin Magnussen after a fantastic debut weekend. Having flourished in a tricky qualifying session, he then somehow saved his car from crashing into the wall seconds into the race before settling down into a flawless 57 laps. He becomes just the third man to visit the podium on his debut in a whopping 43 years (Jacques Villeneuve 2nd in 1997, Hamilton 3rd in 2008).

Young Kevin Magnussen had an outstanding debut weekend
Source: McLaren F1 Team (Facebook)
4. Daniil Kvyat
I’ll be honest: never in my wildest dreams did I expect to be ranking two rookies in the top four! 19-year-old Daniil Kvyat enjoyed a stunning weekend to become the youngest driver to score a point in F1 history. He overcame the difficult quali conditions to make Q3 (we’ll forgive him the brush with the wall) to run inside the top-10 all day long on Sunday, setting the fourth fastest lap of the race, en route to an eventual P9.

Even younger Daniil Kvyat also enjoyed a superb debut
Source: Toro Rosso (Facebook)
5. Valtteri Bottas
Despite recording a career-best 5th-placed finish, Bottas and his team leave Melbourne wondering “what might have been”. With their newly-equipped Mercedes power unit, Williams appeared to be well on course to deliver on their pre-season potential until the weather in qualifying threw a spanner in the works. Whilst fighting his way through the field, a clout with the wall saw Bottas tumble down the order but he again came charging through the field to pick up ten points – doubling the team’s total from the entire 2013 season!

6. Daniel Ricciardo
A flawless performance from the Aussie saw him delight his home crowd in both qualifying and the race before it all went pear-shaped in post-race scrutineering. Rules are rules but the report by the FIA specifically stated that “this parameter [was] outside of the control of the driver”. Indeed, the penalty seems to be as a result of insubordination on the part of Red Bull – who defied the FIA. RBR will appeal, although goodness knows just how long it will take the FIA to come to a decision. It was still difficult to rank Ricciardo given it’s impossible to judge how much he was assisted by the fuel flow issue (if at all) and I could have placed him anywhere from fourth to tenth, so settled for the middle ground.
 
The home crowd went wild for the Perth-native... but it was all gone just after midnight
Source: F1 Fanatic
 7. Felipe Massa
It’s never easy ranking a driver who failed to make it past the first corner but, clearly, Massa was completely blameless in the incident as Kamui Kobayashi and his Caterham nose spectacularly rear-ended him. As mentioned above, Williams appear to be the second quickest team but the inclement weather stymied their charge on Sunday, which ultimately cost them on Sunday. Rain is not uncommon in Malaysia, so they will hope to avoid any repeat of their troubles and battle for the podium. Massa himself looks rejuvenated.

8. Jean-Eric Vergne
It was Kvyat who stole the show on his debut but we must not forget that JEV did manage to outqualify his rookie team-mate and finish above him too. I had initially pegged the two STRs together on the rankings but, all things considered, Kvyat’s debut performance deserved the plaudits. It’s a critical year for Vergne; he simply must defeat his team-mate in order to retain his place in F1, or he’ll have Carlos Sainz, Jr. snapping at his heels for a seat next year.  
 
Vergne shone in the wet qualifying and backed it up on Sunday
Source: Toro Rosso (Facebook)
9. Fernando Alonso
It was a rather average weekend for the Scuderia but Alonso still managed to pick up a solid 4th-placed finish. Ferrari are some way behind Mercedes in terms of ultimate pace but it will be heartening to have got both cars home, albeit with electrical problems. Alonso will probably be most content by the fact he comfortably had the measure of new team-mate Räikkönen all weekend.

10. Jenson Button
An emotional weekend for JB ultimately ended on a heart-warming note with his late award of a trophy for P3. Having just missed out on Q3, two well-timed pit-stops helped him vault up the order – the first of which was the latest of late calls as the SC came out – but he still received a huge wake-up call from young Magnussen.

11. Nico Hülkenberg
A fine weekend for The Hulk on his return to Force India. I’ll admit that eleventh in the F1 Power Rankings is probably doing him a slight disservice – but he is comfortably ahead of his team-mate. He ran comfortably inside the top ten throughout the race but lost ground to his rivals in the pits. Worryingly for the team, they appear to be the slowest of the four Mercedes-powered teams.

Beauty & The Beast?
Source: Scuderia Ferrari (Facebook)
=12. Kimi Räikkönen & Sebastian Vettel
A difficult start to the new season for these two world champions – who both found themselves dropping out in Q2. Räikkönen appears to be struggling to get to grips with the radically different car and was soundly beaten by Alonso (granted, his electrical problems were allegedly worse than his team-mate’s). Vettel endured a frustrating weekend; something he had probably expected to encounter given their pre-season, but he will have no doubt been miffed at being out-qualified by Ricciardo.

14. Max Chilton
The start of Marussia’s season was reminiscent of the 1999 Australian Grand Prix when both Stewarts went up in flames prior to the race. Luckily, there was no lasting damage to either car and both managed to complete the race. Indeed, Chilton has yet to retire in F1.  

15. Adrian Sutil
A rather underwhelming weekend for Sauber; both cars seemed to lack outright speed but at least both cars saw the chequered flag – for which they can feel unlucky not to score some points based on the general pre-season reliability concerns – having run one-stop strategies.

16. Kamui Kobayashi
It appeared as if Kamui’s return to F1 was in true ‘Kobacrashi” style but the stewards absolved him of any blame in the first corner shunt with Massa. However, the crash did raise serious questions about the new brake-by-wire system, which was deemed faulty, as well as the Caterham nose, which launched the rear end of the Williams into the air. On the bright side, full credit to him for making it into Q2 despite the lack of practice running.
 
There's a Caterham in the gravel trap somewhere...
Source: Caterham F1 Team (Facebook)
=17. Romain Grosjean & Pastor Maldonado
It would be unfair to split the Lotus drivers in the F1 Power Rankings given the well documented problems that have affected the team. With so little set-up work, it was nothing short of remarkable that the pair of them ran competently in the midfield – and for so many laps, too! Lotus will be intriguing to watch once they get a handle on the new technology. Incidentally, both cars ran a one-stop strategy.
 
Proof that both Lotus cars did make it out on track
Source: F1 Fanatic
19. Sergio Pérez
You could be forgiven for thinking that Checo was no longer in F1 after a hugely anonymous weekend. A dismal qualifying effort saw him outqualified by former team-mate Kobayashi and he then picked up a puncture on the opening lap. The safety car helped him re-gain touch with the rest of the field and he ended up a rather lonely 11th, which turned into a point (and his first mention of the weekend) after Ricciardo’s DQ.

20. Jules Bianchi
Having spent his rookie season pummelling his fellow newcomer team-mate, Bianchi experienced the other side of the coin as his sophomore season began. Problems in both quali and at the start of the race scuppered his chances of beating his team-mate, although he did manage to set a faster race lap.

21. Marcus Ericsson
Unlike his fellow rookies, it was a baptism of fire for the young Swede as his Caterham was beset with problems throughout the weekend. As was the case for the Caterham/Marussia rookies last season, it will be a bit of a struggle – but at least he kept his nose clean.

22. Esteban Gutiérrez

It appeared as if “Stevie G” was turning the corner at the end of last season but the new era of F1 has not been kind to Sauber so far, and Gutiérrez never really got any momentum going. Things can only get better.
The exit of Turn 3 looks a bit different when the F1 circus isn't in Albert Park!
Source: Personal photography (c)
All views expressed in this blog are my own and no copyright infringement is intended.

Wednesday 5 March 2014

2014 Season Preview - The Era of Reliability is Over

With just one week to go until the Formula 1 season kicks off in anger in Melbourne, I thought I'd take a look at some of the intriguing issues raised during a chaotic off-season.

The era of reliability is over (at least for now)
A funny thing happened shortly after the turn of the century: the FIA introduced several rules in an attempt to both cut costs and to reduce the dominance of Ferrari. Amongst the changes was a requirement for each engine to last a full race weekend, which gradually snowballed into lasting about four races – with gearboxes also being subject to similar regulations. A surprising consequence of these rules was that the cars became virtually bulletproof – something reflected by the FIA increasing the number of places for which drivers can score points.

A throwback to last century is what we can expect to see this season – at least for the first half of it – as teams struggle for reliability. Make no mistake: there is not a single team that is guaranteed of a race finish in Australia; whether you are Mercedes or Red Bull, Ferrari or Marussia. Whilst the Renault-powered cars seem the most likely to encounter mechanical problems early on, Mercedes – supposedly the favourites for the opening weekend – experienced problems in the final couple of days in the Bahrain test, proving that ‘no-one is safe’ so to speak.

With the power units (consisting of engine, gearbox, battery and energy recovery systems [ERS]) taking hours to replace, there is a high likelihood of cars missing either qualifying or the race should they encounter problems on Saturday/Sunday morning. A further consequence to keep an eye out for is that grid penalties could be a common feature towards the end of this season as teams struggle to keep within the allotted engines/gearboxes during the first half of the season.
A good ol' engine failure
Source: Sutton Images

Just how far behind are the Renault-powered cars?
Quite frankly, no-one knows. The issue Renault are having is compounded by the fact the teams they supply have all had to overcome individual issues: Lotus were in a state of limbo with their finances, Toro Rosso changed to Renault engines from this season and Caterham have traditionally struggled. Red Bull, meanwhile, have struggled from packaging issues – a result of Adrian Newey’s obsessive approach to aerodynamics. However, as Sky F1’s Ted Kravitz pointed out, did Red Bull not realize how the gap to their rivals seemed to be ever increasing in the final third of last season? Surely the alarm bells must have been ringing that the other teams had switched their attention to 2014 and the mammoth technical changes? Both RBR and Lotus have said they are well behind schedule but it would be a surprise to no-one if they were challenging for podiums by mid-season – especially Red Bull. Renault’s situation is distinctly similar to that of Chevrolet/Cosworth in the 2003 IndyCar season – and it would be remiss of me not to mention the heroics which Sam Hornish, Jr. performed in a terribly uncompetitive car.
A rare on-track sighting of the Lotus E22
Source: F1Fanatic

‘This isn’t F1, the cars are too slow’
Wrong: this is exactly what Formula 1 is all about – the pinnacle of motorsport technology. The FIA have been attempting to reduce the speed of cars for decades – from originally banning turbos to continually decreasing engine size, to the grooved-tyres decade, to the prolific crackdown on aerodynamic efficiency. The new rules have been designed to safeguard the sport’s future and make the technology more relevant – a similar thing has happened with diesels and hybrids in endurance racing.

The testing at Bahrain has proved that speed is not an issue – despite the cars still being in a somewhat embryonic stage, the leading Mercedes-powered cars were less than a second off last year’s pace in qualifying-trim. To further demonstrate how the FIA have succeeded in slowing cars down, the Bahrain lap record still stands from its inaugural race in 2004 (by a certain M. Schumacher – and we continue to pray for him). One thing that is certain, however: several cars are hideous – most notably the Caterham, Force India and Toro Rosso; although Caterham are supposedly looking at opting for the Lotus ‘twin-tusk’ approach by the time the European season begins.
The Hulk's excitement upon returning to the cockpit of the Force India was clear for all to see (apologies)
Source: F1Fanatic

‘Vettel can prove himself this season’
Again, I do not buy into this theory. There has been a large amount of schadenfreude attached to watching Sebastian Vettel in testing. He has nothing to prove. He is a four-time world champion, having taken his first victory in a Toro Rosso at a soaking wet Monza – having also put the car on pole-position. His talent is crystal clear. Yes, he has made mistakes – and some fans might never forgive him for the events of Malaysia 2013 – but he also completely annihilated Mark Webber throughout their time as team-mates and extracted the utmost from his machinery in 2011 and 2013 especially. It was simply magical watching him at the end of last season. You need a bit of luck to be an F1 champion – you need to have the tools to win. This has always been the case; from Fangio to Clark to Senna to Schumacher. More than anything, however, you need to be a bloody good driver.
One of the more common sights of winter testing
Source: Sutton Images

McLaren heading in the right direction – but still in a state of flux
2014 was always going to be a year of transition for McLaren, as the team from Woking await the arrival of Honda engines next season. One key change has already been made: the hapless Martin Whitmarsh has been sacked after a rather underwhelming five-year tenure as team principal. It started with the ‘lie-gate’ fiasco at his first race in charge in Australia 2009 and culminated with last year’s horrific season. While he should be credited with turning the team’s hopes around in that 2009 season, he was simply unable to rally his troops to match their rivals at Red Bull for the next few seasons – most notably 2012, when they had the quickest car to start and finish the season but somehow failed to capitalize on this. Eric Boullier joins the team, having magnificently guided a Lotus team from the brink of extinction back to a race-winning outfit in just four years. It is difficult to predict how McLaren will approach this season; if they start poorly, Boullier and co. will likely switch their focus onto their McLaren-Honda earlier than their rivals.
Worryingly for McLaren, this sight became more and more common
Source: SkyF1

And finally…
A few points in brief to finish…
  • Marussia and Caterham simply must score points this season, there are no more excuses for them; Marussia have an especially good chance in the opening few events while the Renault cars struggle – and everyone in general fight to just finish the races.
  • There’s a great deal of irony that Pastor Maldonado left Williams with his PDVSA millions looking for a more competitive car and the exact opposite has occurred; the Grove-based team have had a fantastic winter and look like genuine podium contenders at the moment (although, as I must stress, it is notoriously difficult to gauge pace from the often fickle pre-season tests; even in the face of mass rule changes, teams can still be ‘sandbagging’).
  • It’s Fernando Alonso and Kimi Räikkönen at Ferrari – I just felt I needed a sentence about the Scuderia given it’s almost sacrilege to write a whole preview article without mentioning them!
  • Force India have had a good winter and have a strong driver-pairing (again, see Williams for reasons to be cautious on testing) while rivals Sauber have had an up-and-down time.
  • To stress a point from earlier, the early season reliability woes could cause grid penalties towards the end of the season.
  • Double points at the final race is a simply ridiculous invention.
And the token Ferrari photo
Source: F1Fanatic

All views expressed in this blog are my own and no copyright infringement is intended.